12.3-40.1°C
Track Temp Range
20-30°C
Optimal Temp Window
+0.051s/°C
Pace per °CLow reliability
75/100
Avg Condition Score
Track Temperature Evolution
Temperature vs Lap Time
Lap times grouped by track temperature bins. Shows how temperature affects pace.
How Temperature Affects Pace
Estimated effect: +51ms per °C
Higher temperatures correlate with slower lap times
Confidence: Low
Based on 640 clean laps across 15 temperature ranges
Low reliability. This estimate does not account for driver changes, class differences (ZP2/ZR2/ZR3 have different baseline pace), or tire degradation over stints. Temperature explains very little of the lap time variation. Refer to the chart above for the actual relationship between track temp and typical lap time.
Optimal window: 20-30°C(bins within 0.5% of fastest median)
Optimal Condition Windows
Time periods when track conditions were most favorable for fast laps.
Around lap 156Best
Track Temp: 34.4°C
Condition: 81/100
Fast laps (top 10%): 6
Around lap 31#2
Track Temp: 16.4°C
Condition: 63/100
Fast laps (top 10%): 6
Around lap 26#3
Track Temp: 15.7°C
Condition: 61/100
Fast laps (top 10%): 6
Around lap 21#4
Track Temp: 15.0°C
Condition: 59/100
Fast laps (top 10%): 6
Around lap 16#5
Track Temp: 14.3°C
Condition: 57/100
Fast laps (top 10%): 6
Wind Impact on Sector Times
Scatter plot showing wind speed vs sector times across all laps
Methodology
- Each lap is correlated with the nearest weather reading (recorded every ~60 seconds)
- Pace impact estimated by comparing typical lap times across 2°C temperature ranges
- Condition score (0-100) considers track temp deviation from optimal, humidity, wind, and rain
- Optimal windows use 15-minute rolling analysis to find periods with most top-10% laps
- Note: With data from a single race, reliability is limited. Use these estimates as directional guidance rather than precise values.